Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 88%
1 arb excluded
$184.79
$12.35
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 44.5¢ | $46.15 | $52.3 | +$6.15 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.5¢ | $23.25 | $52.3 | +$29.05 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 25.5¢ | $22.9 | — | -$22.9 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $42.65 | $53.92 | +$11.27 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $44.3 | $41.57 | -$2.73 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 77.2¢ | $15.57 | $20.17 | +$4.6 | 63% 50673-29929 (80602) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $5.05 | $5.08 | +$0.03 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $4.35 | $4.92 | +$0.57 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $4.4 | $5 | +$0.6 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $3.49 | — | -$3.49 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $0.33 | $1.83 | +$1.5 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
Invested
$46.15
Value
$52.3
PnL
+$6.15
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.65
Value
$53.92
PnL
+$11.27
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$44.3
Value
$41.57
PnL
-$2.73
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.57
Value
$20.17
PnL
+$4.6
Record
63%
50673-29929 (80602)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$0.03
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$4.92
PnL
+$0.57
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.6
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$3.49
Value
—
PnL
-$3.49
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
$1.83
PnL
+$1.5
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
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