Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$74.2
$6.83
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $29.43 | $43.51 | +$14.08 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $14.07 | $21 | +$6.93 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $11 | — | -$11 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $8.44 | $9.69 | +$1.26 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
Invested
$29.43
Value
$43.51
PnL
+$14.08
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$14.07
Value
$21
PnL
+$6.93
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
Invested
$11
Value
—
PnL
-$11
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.44
Value
$9.69
PnL
+$1.26
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
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