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DownUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$45.43
Combined PnL
-$56.23
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares112
Combined PnL-$66.37
Up2 traders
Total Value$45.43
Total Shares45
Combined PnL+$10.14
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $51.01 | — | -$51.01 | 51% 6340-6042 (12382) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $29.7 | $31.09 | +$1.39 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $5.59 | $14.33 | +$8.74 | 66% 123770-63721 (187491) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.6¢ | $1.43 | — | -$1.43 | 63% 50616-29893 (80509) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $6.93 | — | -$6.93 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $7 | — | -$7 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$51.01
Value
—
PnL
-$51.01
Record
51%
6340-6042 (12382)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$31.09
PnL
+$1.39
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.59
Value
$14.33
PnL
+$8.74
Record
66%
123770-63721 (187491)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.43
Value
—
PnL
-$1.43
Record
63%
50616-29893 (80509)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
—
PnL
-$6.93
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$7
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x44a8888a...b9eb2e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793100900