Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 55%
$158.55
-$0.45
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $37.15 | — | -$37.15 | 51% 6340-6042 (12382) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.2¢ | $7.62 | — | -$7.62 | 63% 50616-29893 (80509) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.5¢ | $5.62 | — | -$5.62 | 46% 37659-44001 (81660) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89.6¢ | $51.75 | $52.7 | +$0.95 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 36.4¢ | $19.29 | $53.01 | +$33.72 | 58% 12439-9095 (21534) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 31.5¢ | $9.08 | $28.84 | +$19.76 | 48% 22909-24908 (47817) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.28 | — | -$1.28 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $12.54 | $10 | -$2.54 | 61% 93252-58615 (151867) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.3¢ | $17.34 | $14 | +$1.61 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 52% 88790-83234 (172024) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 59% 61774-42703 (104477) |
Invested
$37.15
Value
—
PnL
-$37.15
Record
51%
6340-6042 (12382)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.62
Value
—
PnL
-$7.62
Record
63%
50616-29893 (80509)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.62
Value
—
PnL
-$5.62
Record
46%
37659-44001 (81660)
Invested
$51.75
Value
$52.7
PnL
+$0.95
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$19.29
Value
$53.01
PnL
+$33.72
Record
58%
12439-9095 (21534)
Invested
$9.08
Value
$28.84
PnL
+$19.76
Record
48%
22909-24908 (47817)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.28
Value
—
PnL
-$1.28
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
Invested
$12.54
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.54
Record
61%
93252-58615 (151867)
Invested
$17.34
Value
$14
PnL
+$1.61
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
88790-83234 (172024)
Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
59%
61774-42703 (104477)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $52.7
wowitsamazing
Up — $53.01
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $28.84
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $14
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0