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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

Total Value

$225.17

Combined PnL

-$189.16

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares413
Combined PnL-$296.52
Up5 traders
Total Value$225.17
Total Shares225
Combined PnL+$107.36
Down — 55%Up — 45%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$191.74

Value

—

PnL

-$191.74

Record

51%

6332-6019 (12351)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$44.28

Value

—

PnL

-$44.28

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$56.4

Value

$62.42

PnL

+$6.01

Record

63%

50605-29885 (80490)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$28.8

Value

—

PnL

-$28.8

Record

65%

123512-66036 (189548)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$16.25

Value

—

PnL

-$16.01

Record

65%

20534-11219 (31753)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$48.86

Value

$58.22

PnL

+$9.35

Record

55%

43553-35965 (79518)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.93

Value

—

PnL

-$9.93

Record

66%

111116-57341 (168457)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$9.03

Value

$22.03

PnL

+$13

Record

58%

37186-26392 (63578)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$2.31

Value

$77.05

PnL

+$74.74

Record

46%

37648-43987 (81635)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.76

Value

—

PnL

-$5.76

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$1.2

Value

$5.45

PnL

+$4.25

Record

55%

17023-13675 (30698)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x7fcb5250...270bbe
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793092500

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$191.74
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$44.28

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $62.42

+$6.01
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$28.8
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$16.01

MayorMamdani

Up — $58.22

+$9.35
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.93
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $22.03

+$13

pspspsps5

Up — $77.05

+$74.74
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.76
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