PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$146.55

Combined PnL

-$126.49

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares683
Combined PnL-$142.63
Down4 traders
Total Value$45.57
Total Shares46
Combined PnL+$16.13
Up — 56%Down — 44%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$84.69

Value

—

PnL

-$84.69

Record

51%

6332-6019 (12351)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$104.58

Value

$100.97

PnL

-$3.61

Record

68%

98383-46651 (145034)

Both legs:

Up$4438.4¢-$44
Down$60.5860¢+$40.4
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.7

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

62%

43450-26355 (69805)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$26.85

Value

—

PnL

-$21.57

Record

65%

20534-11219 (31753)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$34.05

Value

—

PnL

-$34.05

Record

65%

123512-66036 (189548)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$8.95

Value

$20.63

PnL

+$11.68

Record

55%

17023-13675 (30698)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$9.58

Value

$6.13

PnL

-$3.45

Record

66%

123735-63707 (187442)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$6

Value

$10.34

PnL

+$4.34

Record

55%

43553-35965 (79518)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$4.91

Value

$8.47

PnL

+$3.56

Record

66%

111116-57341 (168457)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.61

Value

—

PnL

-$0.61

Record

46%

37648-43987 (81635)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xff482b88...2a1b85
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793091600

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$84.69
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$3.61

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.7
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$21.57
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

-$34.05
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $20.63

+$11.68
AS

asdaefef

Down — $6.13

-$3.45

MayorMamdani

Down — $10.34

+$4.34
AN

antsaslyku

Down — $8.47

+$3.56

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.61
Trade on Polymarket