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DownUpUpDownUp
pspspsps5CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$55
Combined PnL
-$5.48
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares111
Combined PnL-$15.33
Up3 traders
Total Value$55
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$9.85
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.8¢ | $11.07 | — | -$11.07 | 51% 6312-5995 (12307) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 65% 123475-66020 (189495) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $9.2 | $20 | +$10.8 | 55% 16996-13641 (30637) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 9.4¢ | $2.71 | — | -$2.71 | 68% 98347-46616 (144963) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $7.95 | $5 | -$1.25 | 65% 20472-11181 (31653) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.8¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 46% 37642-43970 (81612) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$11.07
Value
—
PnL
-$11.07
Record
51%
6312-5995 (12307)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
65%
123475-66020 (189495)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.8
Record
55%
16996-13641 (30637)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
—
PnL
-$2.71
Record
68%
98347-46616 (144963)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.25
Record
65%
20472-11181 (31653)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
46%
37642-43970 (81612)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1178abbd...15dd1a
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793090700