Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 71%
2 arb excluded
$295.66
-$18.97
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $135.52 | $184.91 | +$49.39 | 51% 6312-5995 (12307) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $92.23 | $184.91 | +$92.68 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 42¢ | $43.29 | — | -$43.29 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 61.2¢ | $59.8 | $53 | -$6.8 | 68% 98347-46616 (144963) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.8¢ | $27.38 | — | -$27.38 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.2¢ | $32.42 | $53 | +$20.58 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $22.5 | — | -$22.5 | 65% 20472-11181 (31653) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 61.1¢ | $24.74 | $32.32 | +$7.58 | 66% 111093-57313 (168406) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $11.7 | $10 | -$1.7 | 55% 43523-35934 (79457) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $10.28 | $8 | -$2.28 | 65% 123475-66020 (189495) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 55% 16996-13641 (30637) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.15 | $5 | +$1.85 | 63% 50564-29870 (80434) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $1.85 | $2.43 | +$0.58 | 56% 57299-44283 (101582) |
Invested
$135.52
Value
$184.91
PnL
+$49.39
Record
51%
6312-5995 (12307)
Both legs:
Invested
$59.8
Value
$53
PnL
-$6.8
Record
68%
98347-46616 (144963)
Both legs:
Invested
$22.5
Value
—
PnL
-$22.5
Record
65%
20472-11181 (31653)
Invested
$24.74
Value
$32.32
PnL
+$7.58
Record
66%
111093-57313 (168406)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.7
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.7
Record
55%
43523-35934 (79457)
Invested
$10.28
Value
$8
PnL
-$2.28
Record
65%
123475-66020 (189495)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
55%
16996-13641 (30637)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.85
Record
63%
50564-29870 (80434)
Invested
$1.85
Value
$2.43
PnL
+$0.58
Record
56%
57299-44283 (101582)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
antsaslyku
Down — $32.32
MayorMamdani
Down — $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $8
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $5
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $2.43