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UpDownUpDownUpUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$23
Combined PnL
-$43.75
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares78
Combined PnL-$40.24
Down2 traders
Total Value$23
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$3.5
Up β 71%Down β 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.2Β’ | $23.06 | β | -$23.06 | 51% 6275-5953 (12228) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 60Β’ | $21.55 | $18 | -$3.55 | 68% 98276-46564 (144840) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.5Β’ | $10.05 | β | -$10.05 | 55% 16944-13598 (30542) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 61% 93036-58467 (151503) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $4.84 | β | -$4.84 | 66% 111044-57268 (168312) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 37Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 65% 20395-11132 (31527) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $0.3 | β | -$0.3 | 59% 61746-42646 (104392) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$23.06
Value
β
PnL
-$23.06
Record
51%
6275-5953 (12228)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$21.55
Value
$18
PnL
-$3.55
Record
68%
98276-46564 (144840)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$10.05
Value
β
PnL
-$10.05
Record
55%
16944-13598 (30542)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
61%
93036-58467 (151503)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.84
Value
β
PnL
-$4.84
Record
66%
111044-57268 (168312)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
65%
20395-11132 (31527)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
β
PnL
-$0.3
Record
59%
61746-42646 (104392)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdeb84fa2...d6fd6f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793081400