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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 38%

Total Value

$147.14

Combined PnL

-$513.6

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares516

Combined PnL-$502.6

Up5 traders

Total Value$147.14

Total Shares147

Combined PnL-$11

Down — 38%Up — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	54% 4282-3627 (7909)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98.9¢	$67.43	$68.18	+$0.75	98% 4560-95 (4655)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 78.9¢	$44.13	$42.7	-$1.43	54% 2739-2328 (5067)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 94¢	$30.88	$17.51	-$13.37	49% 3651-3756 (7407)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 96¢	$12.62	$13.15	+$0.53	60% 4284-2912 (7196)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 55¢	$3.08	$5.6	+$2.52	50% 1774-1809 (3583)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	43% 2435-3165 (5600)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 11.5¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	42% 2132-2886 (5018)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

4282-3627 (7909)

Invested

$67.43

Value

$68.18

PnL

+$0.75

Record

98%

4560-95 (4655)

Invested

$44.13

Value

$42.7

PnL

-$1.43

Record

54%

2739-2328 (5067)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$30.88

Value

$17.51

PnL

-$13.37

Record

49%

3651-3756 (7407)

Invested

$12.62

Value

$13.15

PnL

+$0.53

Record

60%

4284-2912 (7196)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$3.08

Value

$5.6

PnL

+$2.52

Record

50%

1774-1809 (3583)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

43%

2435-3165 (5600)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

42%

2132-2886 (5018)

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa7f93432...779d34

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794767400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $68.18

ply-pm2

Up — $42.7

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $17.51

aaa221

Up — $13.15

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $5.6

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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