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DownUpUpUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$107.22
Combined PnL
-$555.8
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,221
Combined PnL-$559.31
Up3 traders
Total Value$107.22
Total Shares107
Combined PnL+$3.51
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $513.89 | — | -$497.3 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $65.24 | $56.4 | -$8.84 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85.2¢ | $30.53 | $35.82 | +$5.29 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $7.95 | $15 | +$7.05 | 51% 2151-2062 (4213) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.9¢ | $3.59 | — | -$3.59 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $56.27 | — | -$56.27 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$513.89
Value
—
PnL
-$497.3
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$65.24
Value
$56.4
PnL
-$8.84
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$30.53
Value
$35.82
PnL
+$5.29
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.05
Record
51%
2151-2062 (4213)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$3.59
Value
—
PnL
-$3.59
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$56.27
Value
—
PnL
-$56.27
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x827d70ce...1c3b86
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794753900