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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 50%

Total Value

$76.96

Combined PnL

-$569.86

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares636

Combined PnL-$598.71

Up4 traders

Total Value$76.96

Total Shares77

Combined PnL+$28.85

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.9¢	$505.12	—	-$500.82	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 43.7¢	$92.13	—	-$92.13	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 45.5¢	$20.12	$42.88	+$22.76	60% 3476-2322 (5798)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 74¢	$74.73	$18.08	-$0.9	54% 2171-1861 (4032)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 27¢	$1.62	$6	+$4.38	41% 1475-2082 (3557)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 74¢	$7.4	$10	+$2.6	48% 1927-2124 (4051)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$2.6	—	-$2.6	47% 1950-2185 (4135)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$3.16	—	-$3.16	44% 1915-2467 (4382)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$505.12

Value

—

PnL

-$500.82

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$92.13

Value

—

PnL

-$92.13

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

Invested

$20.12

Value

$42.88

PnL

+$22.76

Record

60%

3476-2322 (5798)

Invested

$74.73

Value

$18.08

PnL

-$0.9

Record

54%

2171-1861 (4032)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.62

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.38

Record

41%

1475-2082 (3557)

Invested

$7.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.6

Record

48%

1927-2124 (4051)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.6

Value

—

PnL

-$2.6

Record

47%

1950-2185 (4135)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$3.16

Value

—

PnL

-$3.16

Record

44%

1915-2467 (4382)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfd5a4f69...606dc4

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794654000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $42.88

ply-pm2

Up — $18.08

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

ohioism

Up — $10

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

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