Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Up 67%
$108.64
-$571.16
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500.85 | — | -$499.85 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 94¢ | $136.71 | $72.75 | -$63.95 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $37.28 | $35.88 | -$1.4 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 47% 1726-1951 (3677) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.2¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 40% 1121-1688 (2809) |
Invested
$500.85
Value
—
PnL
-$499.85
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$136.71
Value
$72.75
PnL
-$63.95
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$37.28
Value
$35.88
PnL
-$1.4
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
47%
1726-1951 (3677)
Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
40%
1121-1688 (2809)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $72.75
ply-pm2
Down — $35.88
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0