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UpDownUpUp
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$30.91
Combined PnL
-$511.69
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares530
Combined PnL-$522.6
Down3 traders
Total Value$30.91
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$10.91
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $10.8 | $10.12 | -$0.68 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 63.6¢ | $12.4 | — | -$12.4 | 38% 953-1575 (2528) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 50% 2029-2035 (4064) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 44.3¢ | $3.89 | $8.79 | +$4.9 | 47% 995-1129 (2124) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 44.2¢ | $5.31 | $12 | +$6.69 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$10.8
Value
$10.12
PnL
-$0.68
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$12.4
Value
—
PnL
-$12.4
Record
38%
953-1575 (2528)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
50%
2029-2035 (4064)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$3.89
Value
$8.79
PnL
+$4.9
Record
47%
995-1129 (2124)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$5.31
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.69
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x789cc3f0...c4fa83
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794528900