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UpDownDownDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 33%
Total Value
$62.63
Combined PnL
-$495.04
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares512
Combined PnL-$501.08
Down4 traders
Total Value$62.63
Total Shares63
Combined PnL+$6.04
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $19.98 | $20 | +$0.02 | 49% 939-988 (1927) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $19.7 | $24.63 | +$4.93 | 60% 2556-1710 (4266) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $11.96 | $13 | +$1.04 | 50% 1465-1436 (2901) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 48% 1620-1725 (3345) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 38% 748-1242 (1990) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$19.98
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.02
Record
49%
939-988 (1927)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$19.7
Value
$24.63
PnL
+$4.93
Record
60%
2556-1710 (4266)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$11.96
Value
$13
PnL
+$1.04
Record
50%
1465-1436 (2901)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
48%
1620-1725 (3345)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
38%
748-1242 (1990)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc639c10b...4c40b8
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794525300