Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 88%
1 arb excluded
$744.28
-$62.44
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $504 | $488.11 | -$6.74 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $244.06 | $488.11 | +$245.71 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.8¢ | $251.51 | — | -$252.45 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 73.3¢ | $135.33 | $157 | +$21.67 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $53.37 | $65 | +$11.63 | 51% 1409-1375 (2784) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $38.19 | $9.86 | -$0.8 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $9.14 | $7.11 | +$1.68 | 60% 2481-1663 (4144) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $5.18 | $7 | +$1.82 | 47% 959-1076 (2035) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $4.05 | $5.19 | +$1.14 | 48% 1558-1684 (3242) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 55% 1381-1151 (2532) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 17.2¢ | $100.78 | — | -$100.78 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
Invested
$504
Value
$488.11
PnL
-$6.74
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$135.33
Value
$157
PnL
+$21.67
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
Invested
$53.37
Value
$65
PnL
+$11.63
Record
51%
1409-1375 (2784)
Invested
$38.19
Value
$9.86
PnL
-$0.8
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$9.14
Value
$7.11
PnL
+$1.68
Record
60%
2481-1663 (4144)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$5.18
Value
$7
PnL
+$1.82
Record
47%
959-1076 (2035)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$1.14
Record
48%
1558-1684 (3242)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
55%
1381-1151 (2532)
Invested
$100.78
Value
—
PnL
-$100.78
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $157
uninformedfloww
Down — $65
ply-pm2
Down — $9.86
aaa221
Down — $7.11
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $7
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5.19
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $5
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0