Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
$839.98
$132.05
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $250 | β | -$250 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 66.4Β’ | $103.08 | $154 | +$50.92 | 51% 1641-1598 (3239) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 54.3Β’ | $41.03 | $75 | +$33.97 | 50% 1101-1104 (2205) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 55.8Β’ | $23 | $41.2 | +$18.2 | 60% 2210-1484 (3694) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 53.4Β’ | $18.69 | $35 | +$16.31 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 56.6Β’ | $19.69 | $34.78 | +$15.1 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.45 | β | -$2.45 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Both legs:
Invested
$103.08
Value
$154
PnL
+$50.92
Record
51%
1641-1598 (3239)
Invested
$41.03
Value
$75
PnL
+$33.97
Record
50%
1101-1104 (2205)
Invested
$23
Value
$41.2
PnL
+$18.2
Record
60%
2210-1484 (3694)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.69
Value
$35
PnL
+$16.31
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
Invested
$19.69
Value
$34.78
PnL
+$15.1
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
Invested
$2.45
Value
β
PnL
-$2.45
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)