Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 60%
1 arb excluded
$754.38
-$95.93
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $519.1 | $510 | +$1.8 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $256.57 | $510 | +$250.9 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $247.4 | — | -$249.1 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 60.1¢ | $117.05 | $98.03 | -$19.02 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $14.39 | $57.54 | +$43.16 | 38% 578-951 (1529) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $46.81 | $41.37 | -$5.44 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 61.4¢ | $19.65 | $32 | +$12.35 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.6¢ | $47.41 | — | -$33.21 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $57 | — | -$57 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $18.97 | $10.44 | +$2.52 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $34.84 | — | -$29.08 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 55% 1173-958 (2131) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $12.6 | — | -$12.6 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
Invested
$519.1
Value
$510
PnL
+$1.8
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
Invested
$117.05
Value
$98.03
PnL
-$19.02
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
Invested
$14.39
Value
$57.54
PnL
+$43.16
Record
38%
578-951 (1529)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$46.81
Value
$41.37
PnL
-$5.44
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.65
Value
$32
PnL
+$12.35
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
Invested
$47.41
Value
—
PnL
-$33.21
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$57
Value
—
PnL
-$57
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Invested
$18.97
Value
$10.44
PnL
+$2.52
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
Invested
$34.84
Value
—
PnL
-$29.08
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
55%
1173-958 (2131)
Invested
$12.6
Value
—
PnL
-$12.6
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $98.03
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $57.54
BoneOhio
Down — $41.37
ohioism
Down — $32
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
antsaslyku
Down — $10.44
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $5