Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$770.44
-$102.69
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $517.1 | $510 | +$4.6 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $257.06 | $510 | +$252.9 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $244.09 | β | -$248.3 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 81.4Β’ | $173.08 | $162.37 | -$10.71 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.1Β’ | $45.6 | $60 | +$19.4 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $22.75 | β | -$22.75 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $10.4 | $20 | +$9.6 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $9.3 | $10 | +$0.7 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 65Β’ | $10.05 | β | -$10.05 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 80.4Β’ | $6.48 | $8.06 | +$1.58 | 47% 1308-1484 (2792) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.3Β’ | $50.79 | β | -$50.79 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $19.72 | β | -$19.72 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 66.5Β’ | $19.95 | β | -$19.95 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
Invested
$517.1
Value
$510
PnL
+$4.6
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
Invested
$173.08
Value
$162.37
PnL
-$10.71
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Invested
$45.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$19.4
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$22.75
Value
β
PnL
-$22.75
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.6
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.7
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
Invested
$10.05
Value
β
PnL
-$10.05
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
Invested
$6.48
Value
$8.06
PnL
+$1.58
Record
47%
1308-1484 (2792)
Invested
$50.79
Value
β
PnL
-$50.79
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$19.72
Value
β
PnL
-$19.72
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$19.95
Value
β
PnL
-$19.95
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
Down β $162.37
ply-pm2
Down β $60

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $20
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $10
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $8.06
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0