Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
$489.52
-$1.4
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 66.8¢ | $223.85 | $211.12 | -$12.73 | 51% 9243-8859 (18102) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.7¢ | $126.96 | $130.01 | +$3.05 | 91% 26203-2490 (28693) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 71.6¢ | $71.6 | $100 | +$28.4 | 57% 76018-58426 (134444) |
AN antsaslykuARB<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $51.38 | $42.16 | -$9.22 | 65% 113639-60463 (174102) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.7¢ | $24.88 | — | -$24.88 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62.9¢ | $26.5 | $42.16 | +$15.66 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $2.84 | $5 | +$2.16 | 58% 61970-45344 (107314) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $0.75 | $1.23 | +$0.48 | 52% 92569-87032 (179601) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.3¢ | $9.97 | — | -$9.97 | 48% 9591-10528 (20119) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $36.76 | — | -$12.79 | 64% 26702-15006 (41708) |
Invested
$223.85
Value
$211.12
PnL
-$12.73
Record
51%
9243-8859 (18102)
Invested
$126.96
Value
$130.01
PnL
+$3.05
Record
91%
26203-2490 (28693)
Invested
$71.6
Value
$100
PnL
+$28.4
Record
57%
76018-58426 (134444)
Invested
$51.38
Value
$42.16
PnL
-$9.22
Record
65%
113639-60463 (174102)
Both legs:
Invested
$2.84
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.16
Record
58%
61970-45344 (107314)
Invested
$0.75
Value
$1.23
PnL
+$0.48
Record
52%
92569-87032 (179601)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$9.97
Value
—
PnL
-$9.97
Record
48%
9591-10528 (20119)
Invested
$36.76
Value
—
PnL
-$12.79
Record
64%
26702-15006 (41708)