Back to Markets
Down
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUpUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$52.5
Combined PnL
-$36.75
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$52.5
Total Shares53
Combined PnL-$6.62
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares138
Combined PnL-$30.14
Down β 20%Up β 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.5Β’ | $59.12 | $52.5 | -$6.62 | 52% 8826-8271 (17097) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.5Β’ | $11.67 | β | -$11.67 | 48% 9289-10165 (19454) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.1Β’ | $18.22 | β | -$18.22 | 64% 25897-14422 (40319) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.2 | β | -$0.2 | 48% 23620-25922 (49542) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 65% 113036-59840 (172876) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$59.12
Value
$52.5
PnL
-$6.62
Record
52%
8826-8271 (17097)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$11.67
Value
β
PnL
-$11.67
Record
48%
9289-10165 (19454)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$18.22
Value
β
PnL
-$18.22
Record
64%
25897-14422 (40319)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
β
PnL
-$0.2
Record
48%
23620-25922 (49542)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
113036-59840 (172876)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x176147bf...f29acf
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793628000