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UpDownUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$120.1
Combined PnL
-$17.47
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$120.1
Total Shares120
Combined PnL+$6.97
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares64
Combined PnL-$24.44
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $96.05 | $100 | +$3.95 | 52% 8745-8197 (16942) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $16.24 | — | -$16.24 | 47% 12972-14546 (27518) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $17.08 | $20.1 | +$3.01 | 57% 72399-55086 (127485) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.9¢ | $6.07 | — | -$6.07 | 46% 6106-7046 (13152) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.4¢ | $32.31 | — | -$2.07 | 64% 25745-14302 (40047) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 112843-59680 (172523) |
PL
ply-pm2Invested
$96.05
Value
$100
PnL
+$3.95
Record
52%
8745-8197 (16942)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$16.24
Value
—
PnL
-$16.24
Record
47%
12972-14546 (27518)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$17.08
Value
$20.1
PnL
+$3.01
Record
57%
72399-55086 (127485)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$6.07
Value
—
PnL
-$6.07
Record
46%
6106-7046 (13152)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$32.31
Value
—
PnL
-$2.07
Record
64%
25745-14302 (40047)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112843-59680 (172523)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe132c321...e36190
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793614500