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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

Total Value

$160.89

Combined PnL

-$258.96

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares324
Combined PnL-$249.44
Down4 traders
Total Value$160.89
Total Shares161
Combined PnL-$9.52
Up — 64%Down — 36%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR
Up

Invested

$231.76

Value

—

PnL

-$231.76

Record

67%

100201-48634 (148835)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$91.97

Value

$80.69

PnL

-$11.28

Record

52%

8720-8176 (16896)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$56.33

Value

$56.9

PnL

+$0.57

Record

93%

24712-1827 (26539)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$26.6

Value

$14.3

PnL

-$2.23

Record

64%

25690-14265 (39955)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$5.58

Value

$9

PnL

+$3.42

Record

52%

91694-86058 (177752)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.81

Value

—

PnL

-$4.81

Record

65%

112816-59667 (172483)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

55%

18785-15358 (34143)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

62%

44500-27446 (71946)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

63%

40871-23500 (64371)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

58%

61328-44778 (106106)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.98

Value

—

PnL

-$3.98

Record

46%

6086-7026 (13112)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4250e2ef...1f2ba7
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793602800

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$231.76
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $80.69

-$11.28
HO

hoodquant

Down — $56.9

+$0.57
AA

aaa221

Down — $14.3

-$2.23
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $9

+$3.42
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.81
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.7

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.85

ohioism

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.3
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.05
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