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UpUpUpDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$327.18
Combined PnL
$2.55
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$217.19
Total Shares217
Combined PnL+$7.23
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$4.68
Up β 75%Down β 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 76.5Β’ | $130.19 | $149.56 | +$19.37 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 65.3Β’ | $94.12 | $109.99 | +$15.87 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 65.3Β’ | $71.79 | $109.99 | +$38.2 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 53.3Β’ | $22.33 | β | -$22.33 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.7Β’ | $84.31 | $57.52 | -$8.35 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.9Β’ | $4.68 | β | -$4.68 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $13.9 | $10.1 | -$3.8 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$130.19
Value
$149.56
PnL
+$19.37
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$94.12
Value
$109.99
PnL
+$15.87
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
Both legs:
Up$71.7965.3Β’+$38.2
Down$22.3353.3Β’-$22.33
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$84.31
Value
$57.52
PnL
-$8.35
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
β
PnL
-$4.68
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$13.9
Value
$10.1
PnL
-$3.8
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb5f5296a...5839ed
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793473200