Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Down 83%
2 arb excluded
$446.31
$64.28
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 37.6¢ | $116.85 | $160.14 | +$43.29 | 52% 7995-7522 (15517) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66.2¢ | $56.71 | — | -$56.71 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 37.6¢ | $60.15 | $160.14 | +$100 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $65.79 | $144 | +$78.21 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.8¢ | $39.99 | $144 | +$104.01 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 69¢ | $25.8 | — | -$25.8 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 22.4¢ | $11.96 | $50.69 | +$38.74 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
AA aaa221 | Downavg 38.8¢ | $103.38 | $59.99 | +$16 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $7.56 | $9.95 | +$2.39 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $4.6 | $10.7 | +$6.1 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $3.9 | $10.83 | +$6.93 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.5¢ | $5.87 | — | -$5.87 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
Invested
$116.85
Value
$160.14
PnL
+$43.29
Record
52%
7995-7522 (15517)
Both legs:
Invested
$65.79
Value
$144
PnL
+$78.21
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.96
Value
$50.69
PnL
+$38.74
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Invested
$103.38
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$16
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$7.56
Value
$9.95
PnL
+$2.39
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$10.7
PnL
+$6.1
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
$10.83
PnL
+$6.93
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$5.87
Value
—
PnL
-$5.87
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.