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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$25.72
Combined PnL
-$184.53
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares264
Combined PnL-$189.95
Down2 traders
Total Value$25.72
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$5.42
Up β 71%Down β 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 71.5Β’ | $36.57 | β | -$36.57 | 52% 7967-7500 (15467) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.7Β’ | $15.3 | $17.25 | +$1.95 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.3Β’ | $11.82 | β | -$11.82 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 59Β’ | $5 | $8.47 | +$3.47 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 79.7Β’ | $105.49 | β | -$105.49 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 75.9Β’ | $33.92 | β | -$33.92 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $2.15 | β | -$2.15 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$36.57
Value
β
PnL
-$36.57
Record
52%
7967-7500 (15467)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$15.3
Value
$17.25
PnL
+$1.95
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$11.82
Value
β
PnL
-$11.82
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$5
Value
$8.47
PnL
+$3.47
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
UN
uninformedflowwCTRInvested
$105.49
Value
β
PnL
-$105.49
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$33.92
Value
β
PnL
-$33.92
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
β
PnL
-$2.15
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x525aebf8...1d1fa2
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793454300