Back to Markets
UpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$95.42
Combined PnL
-$0.81
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$36.42
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$7.29
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares60
Combined PnL-$8.1
Up — 25%Down — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $73.2 | $59 | -$14.2 | 51% 7908-7454 (15362) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.4¢ | $23.89 | — | -$23.89 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 83.6¢ | $49.31 | $59 | +$9.69 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $29.13 | $36.42 | +$7.29 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.3¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 63% 52135-30979 (83114) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 66% 112317-58917 (171234) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 52% 90722-85259 (175981) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$73.2
Value
$59
PnL
-$14.2
Record
51%
7908-7454 (15362)
Both legs:
Down$23.8928.4¢-$23.89
Up$49.3183.6¢+$9.69
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$29.13
Value
$36.42
PnL
+$7.29
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
63%
52135-30979 (83114)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
66%
112317-58917 (171234)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
90722-85259 (175981)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb775fee0...b82aa6
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793436300