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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$83.52
Combined PnL
$9.27
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares79
Combined PnL-$6.25
Up2 traders
Total Value$83.52
Total Shares84
Combined PnL+$15.51
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.3¢ | $5.75 | — | -$5.75 | 63% 52032-30695 (82727) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 65.7¢ | $33.36 | $39.19 | +$5.83 | 51% 7723-7285 (15008) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $34.64 | $44.33 | +$9.69 | 64% 23481-12947 (36428) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 55% 17960-14547 (32507) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112264-58747 (171011) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.75
Value
—
PnL
-$5.75
Record
63%
52032-30695 (82727)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$33.36
Value
$39.19
PnL
+$5.83
Record
51%
7723-7285 (15008)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$34.64
Value
$44.33
PnL
+$9.69
Record
64%
23481-12947 (36428)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
55%
17960-14547 (32507)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112264-58747 (171011)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd8a6de12...3d57f7
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793397600