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UpUpUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$285.69
Combined PnL
$19.4
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$120.82
Total Shares121
Combined PnL+$23.58
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$4.18
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $209.8 | $164.87 | -$44.93 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 67.3¢ | $111.03 | $164.87 | +$53.84 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.8¢ | $98.77 | — | -$98.77 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $47.69 | $62.91 | +$15.22 | 57% 71032-54136 (125168) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $29.78 | $30 | +$0.22 | 56% 58164-44891 (103055) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 46.7¢ | $25.46 | $20.42 | +$4.32 | 64% 23436-12922 (36358) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | $4.18 | — | -$4.18 | 63% 52021-30681 (82702) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $3.67 | $7.49 | +$3.82 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$209.8
Value
$164.87
PnL
-$44.93
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
Both legs:
Up$111.0367.3¢+$53.84
Down$98.7762.8¢-$98.77
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$47.69
Value
$62.91
PnL
+$15.22
Record
57%
71032-54136 (125168)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$29.78
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.22
Record
56%
58164-44891 (103055)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$25.46
Value
$20.42
PnL
+$4.32
Record
64%
23436-12922 (36358)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.18
Value
—
PnL
-$4.18
Record
63%
52021-30681 (82702)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$3.67
Value
$7.49
PnL
+$3.82
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf12768ad...fecc94
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793392200