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UpDownDown
ohioism<$100UpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$91.32
Combined PnL
-$66.5
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$91.32
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$2.77
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares128
Combined PnL-$63.73
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82.4¢ | $86.55 | $61.73 | -$24.81 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $42.75 | — | -$42.75 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $20.04 | — | -$19.04 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
ohioism<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $3.7 | $14.8 | +$11.1 | 64% 40165-22974 (63139) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $3.85 | $14.79 | +$10.94 | 58% 60607-44251 (104858) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 63% 52008-30666 (82674) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$86.55
Value
$61.73
PnL
-$24.81
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$42.75
Value
—
PnL
-$42.75
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$20.04
Value
—
PnL
-$19.04
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
$14.8
PnL
+$11.1
Record
64%
40165-22974 (63139)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
$14.79
PnL
+$10.94
Record
58%
60607-44251 (104858)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
63%
52008-30666 (82674)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x58ebe8db...9506fd
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793387700