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DownDownUpUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$81.95
Combined PnL
$7.7
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$2.86
Up3 traders
Total Value$21.37
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$10.56
Down — 25%Up — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $89.93 | $60.57 | -$29.35 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52¢ | $45.92 | — | -$45.92 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 72.6¢ | $44.01 | $60.57 | +$16.57 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $2.86 | — | -$2.86 | 57% 70965-54043 (125008) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $4.75 | $8.97 | +$4.22 | 58% 37890-27130 (65020) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $3.91 | $7.4 | +$3.49 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 66% 112214-58657 (170871) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$89.93
Value
$60.57
PnL
-$29.35
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
Both legs:
Down$45.9252¢-$45.92
Up$44.0172.6¢+$16.57
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.86
Value
—
PnL
-$2.86
Record
57%
70965-54043 (125008)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$8.97
PnL
+$4.22
Record
58%
37890-27130 (65020)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$3.91
Value
$7.4
PnL
+$3.49
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
66%
112214-58657 (170871)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x25f00d78...b9f484
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793380500