Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Up 60%
2 arb excluded
$208.11
-$13.79
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 32.9¢ | $53.44 | $85 | +$31.56 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 32.9¢ | $28 | $85 | +$57 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29.9¢ | $25.44 | — | -$25.44 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 51.9¢ | $69.95 | $70 | +$0.05 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.9¢ | $36.3 | $70 | +$33.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66.3¢ | $33.65 | — | -$33.65 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 98.4¢ | $41.36 | $42.05 | +$0.69 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $17.85 | — | -$17.85 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $3.33 | $6.06 | +$2.73 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.3 | $5 | +$3.7 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
Invested
$53.44
Value
$85
PnL
+$31.56
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Both legs:
Invested
$69.95
Value
$70
PnL
+$0.05
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$41.36
Value
$42.05
PnL
+$0.69
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
Invested
$17.85
Value
—
PnL
-$17.85
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$3.33
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$2.73
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
Invested
$1.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.7
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $42.05
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $6.06
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $5