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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 62%

Total Value

$314.61

Combined PnL

-$239.17

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$314.61
Total Shares315
Combined PnL+$80.19
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares513
Combined PnL-$319.36
Up — 38%Down — 62%
PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$209.14

Value

$211.85

PnL

+$2.71

Record

51%

7596-7161 (14757)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR
Down

Invested

$140.53

Value

—

PnL

-$140.53

Record

68%

99525-47913 (147438)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.89

Value

—

PnL

-$30.89

Record

66%

112173-58591 (170764)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$44.83

Value

—

PnL

-$44.83

Record

64%

23206-12791 (35997)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.26

Value

—

PnL

-$10.26

Record

52%

90329-84819 (175148)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$27.27

Value

—

PnL

-$27.27

Record

57%

70901-53981 (124882)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.45

Value

—

PnL

-$22.45

Record

46%

7940-9367 (17307)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.28

Value

—

PnL

-$20.28

Record

58%

60547-44207 (104754)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.84

Value

—

PnL

-$22.84

Record

63%

51921-30603 (82524)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$10.54

Value

$50.18

PnL

+$39.64

Record

64%

40110-22937 (63047)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$6.55

Value

$25.18

PnL

+$18.63

Record

74%

102458-36400 (138858)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$7

Value

$25

PnL

+$18

Record

56%

58073-44827 (102900)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$1.2

Value

$2.4

PnL

+$1.2

Record

58%

37847-27088 (64935)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x11260bd5...9a72a3
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793369700

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $211.85

+$2.71
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$140.53
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$30.89
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$44.83
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.26
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$27.27
38

38791873984189

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.45
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.28

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.84

ohioism

Up — $50.18

+$39.64
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