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UpUpUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$154.59
Combined PnL
$12.29
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$87.87
Total Shares88
Combined PnL+$12.32
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares3
Combined PnL-$0.03
Up β 80%Down β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 63.4Β’ | $68.72 | $66.72 | -$2 | 51% 7342-6974 (14316) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 63.4Β’ | $42.27 | $66.72 | +$24.45 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 48.4Β’ | $26.45 | β | -$26.45 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 84.4Β’ | $46.8 | $55.46 | +$8.66 | 58% 60398-44091 (104489) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $13.49 | $14.5 | +$1.02 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 98.1Β’ | $12.67 | $12.91 | +$0.24 | 63% 51715-30440 (82155) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.03 | β | -$0.03 | 66% 112010-58363 (170373) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$68.72
Value
$66.72
PnL
-$2
Record
51%
7342-6974 (14316)
Both legs:
Up$42.2763.4Β’+$24.45
Down$26.4548.4Β’-$26.45
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$46.8
Value
$55.46
PnL
+$8.66
Record
58%
60398-44091 (104489)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$13.49
Value
$14.5
PnL
+$1.02
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.67
Value
$12.91
PnL
+$0.24
Record
63%
51715-30440 (82155)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
β
PnL
-$0.03
Record
66%
112010-58363 (170373)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x24d4653f...d3319a
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793320200