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UpDownUpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$75.81
Combined PnL
-$24.86
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares153
Combined PnL-$21.14
Down3 traders
Total Value$75.81
Total Shares76
Combined PnL-$3.72
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $19.65 | — | -$19.65 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.1¢ | $64.64 | $57.02 | -$7.62 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $12.18 | $13.68 | +$1.5 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $2.71 | $5.11 | +$2.4 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111894-58227 (170121) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$19.65
Value
—
PnL
-$19.65
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$64.64
Value
$57.02
PnL
-$7.62
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$12.18
Value
$13.68
PnL
+$1.5
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$2.4
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111894-58227 (170121)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3c22be0d...bc5246
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793285100