Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
$128.48
-$4.94
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $69.12 | $50 | -$19.12 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 86.5¢ | $43.25 | $50 | +$6.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 14.3¢ | $25.87 | — | -$25.87 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.1¢ | $37.46 | $36.66 | -$0.8 | 51% 7184-6826 (14010) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $19.53 | $15.7 | -$3.84 | 63% 51566-30344 (81910) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $9.37 | $6.41 | -$2.96 | 66% 111875-58207 (170082) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $8.65 | $10 | +$1.35 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $7.29 | $9.72 | +$2.43 | 65% 22398-12314 (34712) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 52% 89831-84292 (174123) |
Invested
$69.12
Value
$50
PnL
-$19.12
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
Both legs:
Invested
$37.46
Value
$36.66
PnL
-$0.8
Record
51%
7184-6826 (14010)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.53
Value
$15.7
PnL
-$3.84
Record
63%
51566-30344 (81910)
Invested
$9.37
Value
$6.41
PnL
-$2.96
Record
66%
111875-58207 (170082)
Invested
$8.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.35
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$7.29
Value
$9.72
PnL
+$2.43
Record
65%
22398-12314 (34712)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
89831-84292 (174123)
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