Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Up 60%
2 arb excluded
$350.87
-$10.18
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $132.58 | $151.38 | +$18.79 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $76.81 | $151.38 | +$74.57 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 38.5Β’ | $55.78 | β | -$55.78 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 39.2Β’ | $91.36 | $153.36 | +$62 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 39.2Β’ | $60.11 | $153.36 | +$93.25 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 62.5Β’ | $31.25 | β | -$31.25 | |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.5Β’ | $14.33 | β | -$14.33 | 66% 111846-58190 (170036) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $30.68 | β | -$30.68 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 14.4Β’ | $2.74 | $19.04 | +$16.3 | 63% 51542-30333 (81875) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 27.5Β’ | $7.15 | $13.09 | +$5.94 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 10Β’ | $1.4 | $14 | +$12.6 | 58% 60278-44004 (104282) |
Invested
$132.58
Value
$151.38
PnL
+$18.79
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Both legs:
Invested
$91.36
Value
$153.36
PnL
+$62
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Both legs:
Invested
$14.33
Value
β
PnL
-$14.33
Record
66%
111846-58190 (170036)
Invested
$30.68
Value
β
PnL
-$30.68
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
$19.04
PnL
+$16.3
Record
63%
51542-30333 (81875)
Invested
$7.15
Value
$13.09
PnL
+$5.94
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$14
PnL
+$12.6
Record
58%
60278-44004 (104282)
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