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UpDownUpUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$35
Combined PnL
-$49.01
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares165
Combined PnL-$34.74
Down2 traders
Total Value$35
Total Shares35
Combined PnL-$14.27
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.6¢ | $24.85 | — | -$24.85 | 68% 98984-47279 (146263) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 84.3¢ | $44.32 | $30 | -$14.32 | 51% 7062-6703 (13765) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 65% 22160-12167 (34327) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 66% 111755-58093 (169848) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 63% 51442-30275 (81717) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 58% 60229-43960 (104189) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$24.85
Value
—
PnL
-$24.85
Record
68%
98984-47279 (146263)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$44.32
Value
$30
PnL
-$14.32
Record
51%
7062-6703 (13765)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
65%
22160-12167 (34327)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
66%
111755-58093 (169848)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
63%
51442-30275 (81717)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
58%
60229-43960 (104189)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x420550e4...d35fa7
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793250900