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DownDownDownUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
-$230.11
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares230
Combined PnL-$236.86
Up1 trader
Total Value$25
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$6.75
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 62.6¢ | $127.39 | — | -$127.39 | 51% 6811-6496 (13307) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $54.34 | — | -$54.34 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $46.91 | — | -$40.71 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $18.25 | $25 | +$6.75 | 56% 57585-44462 (102047) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $2.41 | — | -$2.41 | 52% 89386-83832 (173218) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 63% 51208-30132 (81340) |
PL
ply-pm2CTRInvested
$127.39
Value
—
PnL
-$127.39
Record
51%
6811-6496 (13307)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$54.34
Value
—
PnL
-$54.34
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$46.91
Value
—
PnL
-$40.71
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$18.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.75
Record
56%
57585-44462 (102047)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.41
Value
—
PnL
-$2.41
Record
52%
89386-83832 (173218)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
63%
51208-30132 (81340)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x11fcc39b...5bb56f
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793203200