Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
4
Down 50%
2 arb excluded
$1.1K
$401.97
Smart Money Signal
2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 27.4¢ | $366.8 | $792.24 | +$425.43 | 68% 98724-47025 (145749) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $88.86 | $126.89 | +$38.03 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.9¢ | $33.89 | — | -$33.89 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43.3¢ | $54.97 | $126.89 | +$71.92 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $111.87 | $126.96 | +$15.09 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 74¢ | $77.65 | — | -$77.65 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27¢ | $34.22 | $126.96 | +$92.74 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 64.7¢ | $42.39 | — | -$37.02 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $8.18 | — | -$8.18 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 16.7¢ | $4.36 | $26.1 | +$21.74 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
Invested
$366.8
Value
$792.24
PnL
+$425.43
Record
68%
98724-47025 (145749)
Invested
$88.86
Value
$126.89
PnL
+$38.03
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Invested
$111.87
Value
$126.96
PnL
+$15.09
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.39
Value
—
PnL
-$37.02
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$8.18
Value
—
PnL
-$8.18
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.36
Value
$26.1
PnL
+$21.74
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.