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DownDownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$216.59
Combined PnL
$21.47
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$124.59
Total Shares125
Combined PnL+$22.82
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$1.35
Down — 75%Up — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $101.76 | $92 | -$9.76 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 28.3¢ | $26.13 | — | -$26.13 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 82.2¢ | $75.63 | $92 | +$16.37 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $52.56 | $59.64 | +$7.08 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $32.82 | $47.17 | +$14.35 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $16.38 | $17.77 | +$1.39 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$101.76
Value
$92
PnL
-$9.76
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Up$26.1328.3¢-$26.13
Down$75.6382.2¢+$16.37
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$52.56
Value
$59.64
PnL
+$7.08
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$32.82
Value
$47.17
PnL
+$14.35
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.38
Value
$17.77
PnL
+$1.39
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf46ecfd3...1f2526
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1793171700