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poshposhCTR<$100BielAmbri-PiottaBielAmbri-PiottaBiel
VeryLucky888<$100Ambri-Piotta
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Biel — but Ambri-Piotta won instead.
NL: Ambri-Piotta vs. Biel
Resolved Ambri-Piotta. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Biel. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Biel 67%
Total Value
$6.69
Combined PnL
-$23.54
Smart Money Signal
Biel
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Ambri-Piotta100%
Biel0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Biel3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares160
Combined PnL-$23.61
Ambri-Piotta3 traders
Total Value$6.69
Total Shares7
Combined PnL+$0.07
Biel — 50%Ambri-Piotta — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
poshposhCTR<$100 | Bielavg 13¢ | $19.5 | — | -$19.5 | 60% 9159-6104 (15263) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Ambri-Piottaavg 99¢ | $6.62 | $6.69 | +$0.07 | 95% 22801-1146 (23947) |
LS LSS1CTR | Bielavg 70¢ | $389.04 | — | -$4.11 | 72% 1550-606 (2156) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Ambri-Piottaavg 59.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44348-30735 (75083) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Bielavg 40.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18462-18884 (37346) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Ambri-Piottaavg 59.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 40486-29261 (69747) |
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$19.5
Value
—
PnL
-$19.5
Record
60%
9159-6104 (15263)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$6.62
Value
$6.69
PnL
+$0.07
Record
95%
22801-1146 (23947)
LS
LSS1CTRInvested
$389.04
Value
—
PnL
-$4.11
Record
72%
1550-606 (2156)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44348-30735 (75083)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18462-18884 (37346)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
40486-29261 (69747)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x36d3e1e1...ec7bd0
Slug
snhl-amb-bie-2026-10-27