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No
tradecraft<$100NoNoYesYesYes
poshposhCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Inter Milano U23 win on 2026-11-01?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 57%
Total Value
$67.42
Combined PnL
-$33.98
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$58.98
Total Shares59
Combined PnL+$10.21
Yes4 traders
Total Value$8.44
Total Shares188
Combined PnL-$44.2
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 87.9¢ | $25.5 | $29 | +$3.5 | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 79.9¢ | $15.97 | $19.98 | +$4.01 | 51% 6078-5800 (11878) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.3 | $10 | +$2.7 | 59% 30677-21391 (52068) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24.3¢ | $34.28 | $8.44 | -$25.83 | 48% 8966-9599 (18565) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $5.93 | — | -$5.93 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 49% 13022-13588 (26610) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24.7¢ | $9.97 | — | -$9.97 | 58% 10670-7658 (18328) |
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
$25.5
Value
$29
PnL
+$3.5
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$15.97
Value
$19.98
PnL
+$4.01
Record
51%
6078-5800 (11878)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$7.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.7
Record
59%
30677-21391 (52068)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$34.28
Value
$8.44
PnL
-$25.83
Record
48%
8966-9599 (18565)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$5.93
Value
—
PnL
-$5.93
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
49%
13022-13588 (26610)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$9.97
Value
—
PnL
-$9.97
Record
58%
10670-7658 (18328)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x607baebf...d15262
Slug
serc-cos-int-2026-11-01-int