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NoNo
HRTrading<$100No
VeryLucky888<$100No
tradecraftCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Cavese 1919 vs. AZ Picerno end in a draw?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$148.86
Combined PnL
$28.52
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$148.86
Total Shares149
Combined PnL+$34.23
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares196
Combined PnL-$5.71
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 76.1¢ | $100.32 | $131.86 | +$31.54 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $6.72 | $9.6 | +$2.88 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.31 | $7 | -$0.31 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $7 | $0.4 | +$0.12 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 51% 6037-5750 (11787) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 59% 30541-21260 (51801) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.6¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$100.32
Value
$131.86
PnL
+$31.54
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
$6.72
Value
$9.6
PnL
+$2.88
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$7.31
Value
$7
PnL
-$0.31
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7
Value
$0.4
PnL
+$0.12
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
51%
6037-5750 (11787)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
59%
30541-21260 (51801)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x69273db8...27f76e
Slug
serc-cav-azp-2026-10-31-draw