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No
HRTrading<$100NoNoYes
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100No
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Cavese 1919 win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 60%
Total Value
$126.22
Combined PnL
$32.02
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$126.22
Total Shares126
Combined PnL+$41.08
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares17
Combined PnL-$9.06
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 76¢ | $79.04 | $104 | +$24.96 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 95.4¢ | $11.71 | $12.27 | +$0.56 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.26 | $9.95 | +$2.69 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 50% 19294-19658 (38952) |
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Noavg 57¢ | $17.1 | — | +$12.87 | 85% 5446-951 (6397) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 48¢ | $18.76 | — | -$5.56 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$79.04
Value
$104
PnL
+$24.96
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$11.71
Value
$12.27
PnL
+$0.56
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$7.26
Value
$9.95
PnL
+$2.69
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
50%
19294-19658 (38952)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$17.1
Value
—
PnL
+$12.87
Record
85%
5446-951 (6397)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$18.76
Value
—
PnL
-$5.56
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x39dae937...64410c
Slug
serc-cav-azp-2026-10-31-cav