Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will AZ Picerno win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Yes 63%
$505.73
$106.39
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 56.9¢ | $180.89 | $318.02 | +$137.13 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
LO looppau | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $170.92 | $171.09 | +$0.17 | 99% 11003-69 (11072) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | $1.54 | $7 | +$5.46 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $1.63 | $6.51 | +$4.88 | 67% 23397-11771 (35168) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 40.6¢ | $1.26 | $3.11 | +$1.85 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 4¢ | $58.84 | — | -$2.35 | 51% 6037-5750 (11787) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 59% 30541-21260 (51801) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 39.4¢ | $39.21 | — | -$39.21 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
Invested
$180.89
Value
$318.02
PnL
+$137.13
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
Invested
$170.92
Value
$171.09
PnL
+$0.17
Record
99%
11003-69 (11072)
Invested
$1.54
Value
$7
PnL
+$5.46
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
Invested
$1.63
Value
$6.51
PnL
+$4.88
Record
67%
23397-11771 (35168)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
$3.11
PnL
+$1.85
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$58.84
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
51%
6037-5750 (11787)
Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
59%
30541-21260 (51801)
Invested
$39.21
Value
—
PnL
-$39.21
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
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