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Over
HRTrading<$100UnderUnder
RN1<$100UnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
US Albinoleffe vs. US Pergolettese Crema: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 50%
Total Value
$8
Combined PnL
-$11.39
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares397
Combined PnL-$11.79
Under3 traders
Total Value$8
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$0.4
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 3¢ | $11.79 | — | -$11.79 | 38% 3268-5352 (8620) |
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 97.5¢ | $7.8 | $8 | +$0.4 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 95.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 95.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56379-48535 (104914) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 5.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24902-24623 (49525) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$11.79
Value
—
PnL
-$11.79
Record
38%
3268-5352 (8620)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$7.8
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.4
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56379-48535 (104914)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24902-24623 (49525)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x374e5281...1e841d
Slug
serc-alb-per-2026-10-30-total-6pt5