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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was AC Milan β€” but Bologna FC 1909 won instead.

Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)

Resolved Bologna FC 1909. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held AC Milan. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

AC Milan 50%

Total Value

$67.2

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

AC Milan

1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

AC Milan0%
Bologna FC 1909100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Bologna FC 19094 traders
Total Value$67.2
Total Shares67
Combined PnL+$6.72
AC Milan1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares9,526
Combined PnL$-1.1K
Bologna FC 1909 β€” 80%AC Milan β€” 20%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc4ff3766...be2650
Slug
sea-mil-bol-2026-10-28-spread-home-2pt5
Trade on Polymarket