Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was AC Milan β but Bologna FC 1909 won instead.

Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
Resolved Bologna FC 1909. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held AC Milan. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
AC Milan 40%
$342.21
$-4.7K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBluesCTR | AC Milanavg 89.1Β’ | $5.0K | β | $-5.0K | 59% 44644-31046 (75690) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | AC Milanavg 86.4Β’ | $43.2 | β | -$43.2 | 50% 24384-24001 (48385) |
CA Cannae | Bologna FC 1909avg 4Β’ | $9.52 | $238 | +$198.61 | 53% 15742-13912 (29654) |
FO foooool<$100 | Bologna FC 1909avg 14Β’ | $10 | $71.43 | +$61.43 | 50% 10545-10397 (20942) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Bologna FC 1909avg 46.3Β’ | $15.18 | $32.78 | +$17.6 | 53% 3098-2756 (5854) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | AC Milanavg 86.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 55742-47837 (103579) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Bologna FC 1909avg 4.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 13182-10033 (23215) |
Invested
$4,973.06
Value
β
PnL
$-5.0K
Record
59%
44644-31046 (75690)
Invested
$43.2
Value
β
PnL
-$43.2
Record
50%
24384-24001 (48385)
Invested
$9.52
Value
$238
PnL
+$198.61
Record
53%
15742-13912 (29654)
Invested
$10
Value
$71.43
PnL
+$61.43
Record
50%
10545-10397 (20942)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$15.18
Value
$32.78
PnL
+$17.6
Record
53%
3098-2756 (5854)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
55742-47837 (103579)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13182-10033 (23215)
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