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UnderOver
HRTradingCTR<$100UnderOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 67%
Total Value
$11.1
Combined PnL
-$48.93
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares122
Combined PnL-$49.93
Over3 traders
Total Value$11.1
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$1
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | $47.64 | — | -$44.87 | 48% 8966-9597 (18563) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Overavg 91¢ | $10.1 | $11.1 | +$1 | 76% 4144-1304 (5448) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 43¢ | $4.73 | — | -$5.06 | 53% 5640-5054 (10694) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Overavg 57¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46920-33175 (80095) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 56¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$47.64
Value
—
PnL
-$44.87
Record
48%
8966-9597 (18563)
AR
ARocky33<$100Invested
$10.1
Value
$11.1
PnL
+$1
Record
76%
4144-1304 (5448)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$4.73
Value
—
PnL
-$5.06
Record
53%
5640-5054 (10694)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33175 (80095)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x69498fe9...0cf020
Slug
sea-laz-cag-2026-11-01-team-total-away-0pt5